Europa League . 1/16

Global 0-4

PAOK vs Benfica analysis

PAOK Benfica
81 ELO 88
5.3% Tilt -7.8%
287º General ELO ranking 77º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
27%
PAOK
24.4%
Draw
48.6%
Benfica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
PAOK
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
48.7%
Win probability
Benfica
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

PAOK
Benfica
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

PAOK
PAOK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Feb. 2014
TRI
Asteras Tripolis
2 - 1
PAOK
PAO
44%
27%
30%
81 80 1 0
13 Feb. 2014
APS
Apollon Smyrnis
0 - 3
PAOK
PAO
23%
25%
52%
81 60 21 0
09 Feb. 2014
PAN
Panathinaikos
2 - 1
PAOK
PAO
51%
25%
24%
81 81 0 0
05 Feb. 2014
PAO
PAOK
5 - 0
OFI
OFI
65%
21%
14%
81 72 9 0
02 Feb. 2014
PLA
Platanias
2 - 1
PAOK
PAO
20%
26%
54%
81 64 17 0

Matches

Benfica
Benfica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Feb. 2014
PAÇ
Paços de Ferreira
0 - 2
Benfica
SLB
19%
23%
58%
88 76 12 0
11 Feb. 2014
SLB
Benfica
2 - 0
Sporting CP
SCP
57%
22%
21%
88 86 2 0
05 Feb. 2014
PEN
Penafiel
0 - 1
Benfica
SLB
11%
20%
70%
88 66 22 0
01 Feb. 2014
GFC
Gil Vicente
1 - 1
Benfica
SLB
17%
22%
62%
88 69 19 0
25 Jan. 2014
SLB
Benfica
1 - 0
Gil Vicente
GFC
83%
12%
5%
88 70 18 0
X