Panevėžys II vs Žalgiris II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
44.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+65%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
6º
16º
13º
27
4º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 73 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 65 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 62 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 56 |
4º
|
29% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 54 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 51 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 37 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 36 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 33 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 33 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 32 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 29 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
13 | 29 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 28 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 27 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 27 |
16º
|
24% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
65% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
22% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panevėžys II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
MIN
2 - 0
PAN
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2025 |
PAN
0 - 4
SIA
49%
22%
29%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
LIE
1 - 0
PAN
16%
19%
65%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
FHL
2 - 1
PAN
25%
22%
53%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
PAN
4 - 2
FKK
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2025 |
ZAL
4 - 3
FHL
70%
17%
13%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
FKK
2 - 3
ZAL
33%
25%
42%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
ZAL
4 - 1
BFA
40%
24%
36%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
FKE
1 - 1
ZAL
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 1
ATM
42%
24%
35%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |