1. Lyga Round 19

Panevėžys II vs Nevezis analysis

Panevėžys II Nevezis
49 ELO 57
4.2% Tilt 18.1%
5227º General ELO ranking 3319º
26º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
25.7%
Panevėžys II
24.7%
Draw
49.6%
Nevezis

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
Panevėžys II
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
49.6%
Win probability
Nevezis
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Panevėžys II
-24%
-40%
Nevezis

Points and table prediction

Panevėžys II
Their league position
Nevezis
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
13º
11º
47
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FK Riteriai
74
74
100%
Be1 NFA
63
63
100%
FK Babrungas
57
57
100%
Neptunas Klaipėda
57
57
100%
FK Tauras Taurage
47
47
0%
Nevezis
47
47
0%
Atmosfera
44
44
100%
Ekranas Panevezys
39
39
100%
BFA
37
37
100%
Kauno Žalgiris II
10º
35
35
10º
100%
Panevėžys II
11º
34
34
11º
0%
FC Hegelmann II
12º
34
34
12º
0%
FK Siauliai 2
13º
32
32
13º
100%
Minija Kretinga
14º
31
31
14º
100%
Garliava
15º
23
23
15º
100%
Banga II
16º
12
12
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Panevėžys II
Nevezis
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Panevėžys II
Nevezis
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Panevėžys II
Panevėžys II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Aug. 2024
NEP
Neptunas Klaipėda
4 - 3
Panevėžys II
PAN
68%
19%
13%
49 64 15 0
02 Aug. 2024
PAN
Panevėžys II
0 - 3
FK Babrungas
BAB
26%
24%
50%
49 58 9 0
28 Jul. 2024
FHL
FC Hegelmann II
1 - 0
Panevėžys II
PAN
15%
19%
67%
51 23 28 -2
21 Jun. 2024
PAN
Panevėžys II
1 - 3
Minija Kretinga
MIN
36%
26%
38%
51 55 4 0
14 Jun. 2024
GKA
Garliava
1 - 2
Panevėžys II
PAN
34%
24%
42%
50 50 0 +1

Matches

Nevezis
Nevezis
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Aug. 2024
NEV
Nevezis
0 - 5
Banga
BAN
25%
24%
51%
58 67 9 0
10 Aug. 2024
NEV
Nevezis
1 - 1
Atmosfera
ATM
59%
22%
19%
58 49 9 0
03 Aug. 2024
FKB
Banga II
0 - 4
Nevezis
NEV
24%
24%
53%
58 39 19 0
30 Jul. 2024
BEN
Be1 NFA
3 - 1
Nevezis
NEV
47%
27%
26%
59 65 6 -1
26 Jul. 2024
NEV
Nevezis
2 - 2
BFA
BFA
52%
24%
24%
58 53 5 +1