Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
GOD
2 - 2
PAL
23%
28%
48%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
CEA
2 - 0
PAL
15%
25%
60%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
SCI
1 - 0
PAL
32%
28%
40%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 1
PAL
19%
26%
55%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 0
SCI
70%
19%
10%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
VAS
2 - 1
FLU
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 1
VAS
72%
18%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
FOZ
1 - 3
VAS
7%
17%
77%
|
77 | 39 | 38 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2019 |
VAS
1 - 0
ATL
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
RIO
0 - 2
VAS
10%
19%
71%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |