Palmeiras vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
11%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 2
PAL
17%
25%
58%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 1
BRA
67%
21%
12%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
PAL
4 - 0
ICA
76%
17%
7%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
PAL
16%
24%
60%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
FFL
2 - 3
PAL
35%
26%
40%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 1
JEC
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 2
PAR
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
BRA
0 - 0
PAR
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 0
CEA
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 0
ARN
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |