Palmeiras vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
12.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
COT
1 - 1
PAL
51%
24%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 1
SAO
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
COT
1 - 1
PAL
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
PPE
1 - 0
PAL
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 0
COT
44%
27%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 0
PPE
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
COR
2 - 1
NAU
69%
21%
10%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 1
NAU
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
NAU
0 - 2
FLU
21%
25%
54%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
ATM
5 - 1
NAU
73%
17%
9%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |