Palmeiras vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
DEL
1 - 3
PAL
21%
27%
52%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
GOI
1 - 0
PAL
18%
24%
57%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
CEA
2 - 2
PAL
20%
27%
53%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
PAL
2 - 0
FLU
71%
18%
11%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
PAL
3 - 0
CEA
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
ATP
1 - 1
RIV
28%
25%
47%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
ATP
1 - 0
SAN
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
ATM
0 - 2
ATP
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
GOI
0 - 1
ATP
30%
26%
44%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
ATP
2 - 1
FOR
48%
27%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |