Palmeira vs Potiguar Mossoró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
PAL
2 - 1
ALE
29%
25%
46%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 1
PAL
60%
22%
19%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
PAL
2 - 4
ABC
16%
21%
63%
|
34 | 61 | 27 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
COR
1 - 1
PAL
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
PAL
2 - 0
ASS
23%
24%
53%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +5 |
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 0
POT
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
POT
1 - 1
COR
42%
25%
34%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
POT
1 - 1
CCP
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
POT
0 - 0
ALE
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
POT
51%
25%
25%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |