Copa do Brasil . Last 16
Global 4-3
Palmas FR vs Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
68.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmas FR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
NAC
3 - 0
PAL
81%
13%
6%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
PAL
5 - 0
NAC
11%
18%
71%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | +3 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
REM
1 - 3
PAL
88%
9%
3%
|
36 | 65 | 29 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
PAL
1 - 2
REM
8%
16%
76%
|
36 | 65 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
POR
5 - 2
PAL
94%
5%
1%
|
36 | 80 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
BOT
2 - 3
GAM
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
GAM
4 - 4
BOT
34%
24%
42%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
GAM
3 - 0
ACP
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
ACP
0 - 0
GAM
16%
20%
64%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
GAM
2 - 2
AME
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |