Palillo vs Balconada UE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.1%
56.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
PAL
1 - 2
MSF
36%
21%
43%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 2
PAL
45%
21%
34%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
PAL
5 - 4
NAV
26%
20%
54%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
PAL
53%
20%
27%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
PIP
5 - 2
PAL
80%
12%
8%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Balconada UE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 4
PIP
30%
20%
49%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
VAL
1 - 2
BAL
17%
17%
66%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
BAL
7 - 0
CAR
77%
13%
10%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 4
BAL
30%
21%
49%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
BAL
3 - 2
JOA
37%
21%
42%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +1 |