Palermo FC vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.9%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
5.4%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
TER
0 - 0
PAL
15%
24%
60%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
TER
2 - 0
PAL
10%
22%
69%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
PAL
4 - 0
HYR
88%
10%
2%
|
72 | 32 | 40 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
LIC
2 - 0
PAL
6%
15%
79%
|
72 | 34 | 38 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
PAL
2 - 0
BIA
93%
6%
1%
|
73 | 26 | 47 | -1 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
VIT
0 - 1
AVE
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
REN
2 - 1
AVE
29%
26%
45%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2020 |
TER
0 - 0
AVE
51%
25%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
AVE
2 - 0
TER
36%
28%
37%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 1
AVE
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |