Palermo FC vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
PAL
0 - 1
CES
73%
18%
10%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 0
PAL
37%
27%
37%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PAL
2 - 0
FIO
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
JUV
3 - 0
PAL
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
PAL
3 - 1
BOL
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
SIE
0 - 2
GEN
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
BOL
1 - 0
SIE
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SIE
0 - 1
INT
18%
24%
59%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
CAG
1 - 2
SIE
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SIE
2 - 2
ATL
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |