Palermo FC vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
31.6%
Draw
0-0
15.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
31.6%
23.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
PRG
0 - 0
PAL
50%
29%
20%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
PAL
0 - 0
GEN
43%
31%
26%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1986 |
USC
1 - 1
PAL
61%
24%
15%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
PAL
1 - 1
EMP
47%
30%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
PAL
1 - 1
LAZ
46%
31%
24%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
CES
1 - 1
ARZ
59%
25%
16%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
PES
1 - 1
CES
52%
28%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1986 |
CES
2 - 0
CAT
61%
24%
15%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
CES
2 - 0
FCC
59%
25%
16%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
ASC
1 - 0
CES
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |