Palencia vs Ponferradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
47.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
CFP
2 - 0
OSA
45%
28%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
MIR
0 - 0
CFP
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CFP
1 - 0
SES
44%
29%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
ATH
0 - 2
CFP
60%
24%
16%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
CFP
1 - 1
BAR
38%
30%
32%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
PON
1 - 1
MIR
74%
18%
9%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
SES
0 - 2
PON
21%
28%
51%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
PON
1 - 0
ATH
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 1
PON
26%
29%
45%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
PON
1 - 0
EIB
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |