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PFL. Matchday 23

Pakhtakor vs FK Lokomotiv Tashkent analysis

Pakhtakor FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
50 ELO 49
26% Tilt -14%
1340º General ELO ranking 1469º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
61.6%
Pakhtakor
22.1%
Draw
16.3%
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
Pakhtakor
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.3%
Win probability
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pakhtakor
+13%
-45%
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent

Basic stats

48
52
POS
7
9
SOT
6
3
COR
2
0
GF
0
2
GC
14
18
FRK
50
49
ELO
1.9
0.8
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Pakhtakor
Their league position
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
24
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Pakhtakor
54
54
100%
Navbahor
53
53
100%
Nasaf
49
49
100%
FC AGMK
44
44
100%
Qizilqum
39
39
100%
FK Olympic
35
35
100%
Sogdiana
34
34
50%
Bunyodkor
34
34
50%
Neftchi
32
32
10º
50%
Metallurg Bekabad
10º
32
32
50%
Surkhon Termez
11º
26
26
11º
100%
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
12º
24
24
12º
100%
Kokand 1912
13º
22
22
13º
100%
Dinamo Samarqand
14º
15
15
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Pakhtakor
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
Champion
100% 0%
AFC Champions League
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation playoffs
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Pakhtakor
PAK
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
FKL
Sogdiana
SOG
Navbahor
NAV
FK Olympic
FKO
Kokand 1912
QOQ
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pakhtakor
Pakhtakor
1%
X%
2%
ELO PAK ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Oct. 2022
PAK
Pakhtakor
5 - 2
Kokand 1912
QOQ
60%
22%
18%
967 497 470 +4
09 Oct. 2022
TER
Surkhon Termez
1 - 1
Pakhtakor
PAK
34%
27%
39%
969 317 -652 -1
02 Oct. 2022
PAK
Pakhtakor
0 - 1
Nasaf
NAS
46%
27%
28%
972 1060 -88 -3
15 Sep. 2022
OLM
FC AGMK
0 - 2
Pakhtakor
PAK
38%
28%
35%
968 607 -361 +4
09 Sep. 2022
PAK
Pakhtakor
2 - 1
Metallurg Bekabad
MET
58%
23%
19%
966 530 436 +2

Matches

FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
1%
X%
2%
ELO FKL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Oct. 2022
FKL
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
1 - 2
FK Olympic
FKO
56%
24%
21%
926 403 523 -5
08 Oct. 2022
QOQ
Kokand 1912
0 - 0
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
FKL
34%
27%
38%
927 496 -431 -1
03 Oct. 2022
FKL
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
1 - 3
Neftchi
NEF
47%
27%
26%
933 845 88 -5
17 Sep. 2022
TER
Surkhon Termez
2 - 1
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
FKL
36%
27%
37%
923 309 -614 -5
10 Sep. 2022
FKL
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
1 - 1
Dinamo Samarqand
DSA
60%
22%
18%
924 452 472 -1