Paide vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.3%
15.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
FLO
1 - 0
PAI
85%
12%
4%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2015 |
PAI
1 - 1
SIK
17%
20%
63%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2015 |
KAL
2 - 1
PAI
86%
11%
3%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2015 |
PAI
31 - 0
FKR
87%
9%
3%
|
51 | 9 | 42 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
PAI
4 - 1
PAR
47%
22%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
SIK
3 - 3
PAR
80%
13%
7%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 1
TRA
42%
22%
36%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
JKR
7 - 5
PAR
16%
18%
66%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | -2 |
| 03 Jul. 2015 |
TAM
1 - 0
PAR
35%
22%
43%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
PAI
4 - 1
PAR
47%
22%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |