Paide Kumake vs Tarvastu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide Kumake
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
TUL
0 - 1
PAK
62%
20%
18%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
PAK
3 - 2
GAN
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
PAK
0 - 6
TAM
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
RUD
1 - 3
PAK
16%
20%
64%
|
48 | 21 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
PAK
5 - 1
NOM
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Tarvastu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
TAR
2 - 5
TAR
45%
22%
33%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
TAR
2 - 0
TAR
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
TAR
0 - 0
VJK
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
LUU
0 - 0
TAR
68%
18%
15%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
TAR
1 - 1
SOR
32%
23%
45%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |