Esiliiga Round 9

Paide II vs Harju JK Laagri analysis

Paide II Harju JK Laagri
48 ELO 61
34.4% Tilt 29.5%
5445º General ELO ranking 1390º
31º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
26%
Paide II
23.5%
Draw
50.5%
Harju JK Laagri

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
Paide II
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
50.5%
Win probability
Harju JK Laagri
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Paide II
-25%
-28%
Harju JK Laagri

Points and table prediction

Paide II
Their league position
Harju JK Laagri
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
10º
78
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Harju JK Laagri
78
78
100%
Viimsi JK
75
75
100%
FC Flora Tallin II
66
66
100%
Tartu Welco
60
60
100%
FC Tallinn
53
53
100%
Levadia Tallinn II
44
44
100%
Tallinna Kalev II
42
42
100%
FC Elva
41
41
100%
Paide II
25
25
100%
Tabasalu Charma
10º
16
16
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Paide II
Harju JK Laagri
Promotion
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Paide II
Harju JK Laagri
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Paide II
Paide II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2024
VJK
Viimsi JK
5 - 0
Paide II
PAI
70%
19%
12%
49 64 15 0
21 Apr. 2024
PAI
Paide II
0 - 1
FC Tallinn
FCT
33%
24%
43%
50 57 7 -1
15 Apr. 2024
LEV
Levadia Tallinn II
3 - 0
Paide II
PAI
60%
21%
19%
50 58 8 0
07 Apr. 2024
FCE
FC Elva
2 - 2
Paide II
PAI
43%
23%
35%
50 51 1 0
30 Mar. 2024
PAI
Paide II
1 - 6
Tartu Welco
WEL
31%
24%
45%
51 60 9 -1

Matches

Harju JK Laagri
Harju JK Laagri
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2024
HJP
Harju JK Laagri
5 - 0
FC Elva
FCE
67%
19%
14%
60 53 7 0
21 Apr. 2024
TKA
Tallinna Kalev II
1 - 4
Harju JK Laagri
HJP
46%
24%
31%
59 56 3 +1
13 Apr. 2024
HJP
Harju JK Laagri
0 - 0
Tartu Welco
WEL
45%
24%
31%
59 60 1 0
07 Apr. 2024
LEV
Levadia Tallinn II
1 - 2
Harju JK Laagri
HJP
48%
25%
28%
58 59 1 +1
30 Mar. 2024
TAB
Tabasalu Charma
1 - 4
Harju JK Laagri
HJP
49%
23%
29%
57 54 3 +1