Paganese vs Potenza Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
54.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
JUS
1 - 0
PAG
80%
14%
6%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
PAG
1 - 1
SIR
24%
26%
50%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
REN
1 - 2
PAG
68%
21%
12%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
VIT
2 - 1
PAG
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 3
TRA
13%
22%
66%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Potenza Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
RPO
0 - 0
JUS
23%
26%
51%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MON
1 - 1
RPO
50%
26%
24%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
RPO
1 - 5
FCC
38%
28%
34%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
USV
1 - 0
RPO
34%
28%
38%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
RPO
1 - 0
CAS
39%
28%
34%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |