Paganese vs Neapolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
11.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
GAV
1 - 1
PAG
20%
26%
54%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PAG
2 - 1
GIU
73%
19%
8%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
LAQ
0 - 0
PAG
26%
28%
46%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PAG
2 - 0
APR
73%
18%
9%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
VIG
1 - 1
PAG
15%
25%
60%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
NEA
3 - 3
CAM
56%
23%
21%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
FON
2 - 1
NEA
35%
24%
40%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
NEA
0 - 0
VIG
55%
23%
22%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PRG
2 - 1
NEA
71%
19%
10%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
NEA
2 - 1
RAA
55%
24%
22%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |