Paganese vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
56.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
TER
2 - 0
PAG
72%
17%
10%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
PIC
2 - 0
PAG
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
PAG
2 - 2
USV
39%
25%
35%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
TER
2 - 1
PAG
50%
25%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
PAG
3 - 1
AVE
20%
23%
57%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
BIS
0 - 3
BAR
13%
24%
63%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 2
USV
71%
19%
11%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CAT
0 - 0
BAR
23%
27%
51%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 0
FCC
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
AVE
2 - 2
BAR
26%
27%
47%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |