Campeonato de Portugal Norte. Jor. 24

Padroense vs Chaves analysis

Padroense Chaves
30 ELO 53
-6% Tilt 3.4%
20164º General ELO ranking 1271º
283º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
18.4%
Padroense
24.8%
Draw
56.8%
Chaves

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
Padroense
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
56.8%
Win probability
Chaves
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Padroense
Chaves
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Padroense
Padroense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Mar. 2013
PAD
Padroense
1 - 2
Vizela
VIZ
18%
24%
59%
29 53 24 0
03 Mar. 2013
VIL
Länk Vilaverdense
1 - 0
Padroense
PAD
61%
21%
19%
30 38 8 -1
24 Feb. 2013
PAD
Padroense
2 - 2
Famalicão
FAM
18%
25%
57%
29 52 23 +1
17 Feb. 2013
JOA
Joane
2 - 1
Padroense
PAD
45%
24%
31%
30 30 0 -1
10 Feb. 2013
PAD
Padroense
0 - 1
Gondomar
GON
21%
25%
55%
30 50 20 0

Matches

Chaves
Chaves
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Mar. 2013
CHA
Chaves
0 - 0
Varzim
VAR
42%
29%
29%
54 55 1 0
03 Mar. 2013
VIZ
Vizela
1 - 1
Chaves
CHA
46%
27%
27%
54 53 1 0
24 Feb. 2013
CHA
Chaves
1 - 0
Tirsense
TIR
46%
27%
27%
53 52 1 +1
17 Feb. 2013
VIL
Länk Vilaverdense
0 - 1
Chaves
CHA
24%
26%
50%
53 37 16 0
10 Feb. 2013
CHA
Chaves
3 - 0
Infesta
INF
71%
19%
10%
53 28 25 0
X