Padiham vs Squires Gate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
13.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padiham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
PRH
2 - 0
PAD
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
PAD
2 - 2
PFC
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
PAD
3 - 1
LTO
51%
21%
28%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
PAD
0 - 1
GLO
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
PAD
2 - 5
CLI
21%
23%
57%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Squires Gate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
SQU
0 - 2
BUR
41%
21%
38%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SQU
3 - 4
ALI
21%
20%
59%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
IRL
4 - 2
SQU
64%
19%
18%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SQU
1 - 5
WES
19%
19%
62%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
WYT
2 - 0
SQU
82%
12%
7%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |