Padiham vs Pilkington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
12.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padiham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
PAD
3 - 1
LTO
40%
22%
38%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
PAD
0 - 1
GLO
67%
19%
14%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
PAD
2 - 5
CLI
23%
23%
54%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
PAD
1 - 2
BCF
6%
16%
78%
|
26 | 63 | 37 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
IOM
2 - 1
PAD
63%
18%
19%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pilkington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
PFC
0 - 0
LIT
13%
17%
70%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
PFC
2 - 1
IRL
14%
17%
69%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
PFC
1 - 0
WYA
31%
21%
47%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
PFC
3 - 0
LTO
6%
12%
82%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | +6 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 2
PFC
90%
7%
3%
|
8 | 23 | 15 | +1 |