Padiham vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
69.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padiham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
PAD
1 - 4
RAM
13%
19%
68%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
KEN
2 - 1
PAD
73%
15%
13%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
WAK
0 - 3
PAD
37%
23%
41%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
PAD
2 - 4
WAR
17%
20%
64%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
BAM
5 - 1
PAD
78%
14%
9%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
RAD
1 - 2
DAR
17%
22%
61%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
DAR
0 - 2
LAN
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
DAR
0 - 4
CUR
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
KEN
1 - 5
DAR
24%
23%
54%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
OSS
2 - 3
DAR
8%
17%
75%
|
47 | 15 | 32 | 0 |