Paderborn vs SSV Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
8º
4º
30
12º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
51 | 51 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 35 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SGF
1 - 1
PAD
31%
24%
45%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 4
PAD
9%
14%
77%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
PAD
3 - 1
DAR
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HER
1 - 2
PAD
44%
24%
33%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
PSV
1 - 2
PAD
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
SSV Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ULM
1 - 2
F95
18%
22%
60%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ULM
0 - 4
BYM
2%
6%
93%
|
75 | 99 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SSV
1 - 0
ULM
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ULM
1 - 2
KAI
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ULM
2 - 2
STU
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |