Paderborn vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
SVS
1 - 1
PAD
20%
24%
56%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
PAD
0 - 2
HSV
46%
23%
31%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
FCU
1 - 3
PAD
44%
25%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
PAD
3 - 1
ING
64%
20%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
ERZ
2 - 1
PAD
22%
25%
54%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
MSV
4 - 4
KOL
13%
20%
67%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
MSV
2 - 4
ING
43%
27%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
STP
0 - 0
MSV
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
SSV
1 - 1
MSV
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
MSV
1 - 0
MAG
32%
26%
42%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |