Paderborn vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
F95
2 - 1
PAD
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
FCU
2 - 3
PAD
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
OSN
0 - 1
PAD
40%
25%
34%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
PAD
2 - 2
EBT
65%
19%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
RTV
3 - 0
PAD
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
ERZ
3 - 1
EBT
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
FCN
1 - 0
ERZ
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
ERZ
4 - 1
KSC
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
STP
2 - 2
ERZ
30%
27%
44%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
ERZ
0 - 2
SSV
41%
26%
34%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |