Regionalliga North Round 18

Paderborn vs B. Dortmund II analysis

Paderborn B. Dortmund II
58 ELO 61
15% Tilt 0%
191º General ELO ranking 1196º
22º Country ELO ranking 59º
ELO win probability
48.4%
Paderborn
23.4%
Draw
28.2%
B. Dortmund II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
Paderborn
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
28.2%
Win probability
B. Dortmund II
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Paderborn
+3%
-18%
B. Dortmund II

ELO progression

Paderborn
B. Dortmund II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Paderborn
Paderborn
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Nov. 2003
PAD
Paderborn
3 - 1
Schalke 04 II
S04
50%
23%
28%
58 55 3 0
15 Nov. 2003
PRE
Preußen Münster
3 - 1
Paderborn
PAD
40%
26%
34%
59 50 9 -1
08 Nov. 2003
CHE
Chemnitzer
1 - 2
Paderborn
PAD
43%
27%
30%
59 56 3 0
02 Nov. 2003
PAD
Paderborn
2 - 1
Rot-Weiss Essen
ROT
42%
25%
34%
58 65 7 +1
24 Oct. 2003
HOL
Holstein Kiel
1 - 1
Paderborn
PAD
44%
26%
30%
58 53 5 0

Matches

B. Dortmund II
B. Dortmund II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Nov. 2003
CHE
Chemnitzer
0 - 2
B. Dortmund II
BOR
37%
26%
37%
59 54 5 0
15 Nov. 2003
BOR
B. Dortmund II
0 - 1
Rot-Weiss Essen
ROT
42%
25%
33%
60 65 5 -1
08 Nov. 2003
HOL
Holstein Kiel
3 - 1
B. Dortmund II
BOR
33%
25%
42%
61 53 8 -1
03 Nov. 2003
BOR
B. Dortmund II
2 - 0
 Hamburger SV II
HAM
62%
21%
17%
61 50 11 0
25 Oct. 2003
WUP
Wuppertaler SV
1 - 1
B. Dortmund II
BOR
38%
25%
38%
61 56 5 0