Paderborn vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
STP
2 - 2
PAD
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
PAD
3 - 0
FSV
48%
26%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
KOL
3 - 0
PAD
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
PAD
0 - 1
COT
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SVS
1 - 3
PAD
31%
27%
43%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
FSV
3 - 0
FCU
37%
26%
38%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
FCU
4 - 2
STP
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
COT
2 - 1
FCU
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
FCU
3 - 0
ERZ
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
KOL
2 - 0
FCU
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |