Prev. Taça da Liga 2nd Round Final
Global 4-6
Paços de Ferreira vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
BOA
1 - 2
PAÇ
13%
23%
64%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
PAÇ
4 - 0
ATL
90%
8%
2%
|
77 | 39 | 38 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
PAÇ
3 - 2
MAR
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
PAÇ
2 - 0
BEL
56%
24%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
UNM
4 - 2
PAÇ
25%
24%
51%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
UNM
1 - 1
BRA
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
TON
3 - 1
UNM
41%
28%
32%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
UNM
1 - 2
SCF
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 3
UNM
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
AMO
3 - 2
UNM
21%
23%
56%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |