Paços de Ferreira vs Moreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
EST
1 - 0
PAÇ
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
SCP
31%
24%
46%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
VST
0 - 0
PAÇ
39%
27%
35%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
BOA
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
PAÇ
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 1
VIT
27%
27%
45%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
BEL
2 - 0
MOR
45%
28%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 1
MAR
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
GFC
0 - 1
MOR
42%
28%
31%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 2
ACA
52%
27%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -2 |