Paços de Ferreira vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
64.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
FAM
2 - 0
PAÇ
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
PAÇ
3 - 0
MOR
43%
28%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
FCP
2 - 0
PAÇ
74%
17%
10%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
NAC
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 0
PAÇ
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
SLB
1 - 0
MAR
86%
11%
3%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
SPB
0 - 2
SLB
39%
24%
37%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
SLB
2 - 0
BOA
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
BEL
0 - 3
SLB
9%
18%
73%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
SLB
2 - 0
EST
79%
14%
8%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |