Paços de Ferreira vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
25%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
18.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
BRA
3 - 1
PAÇ
17%
24%
59%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
COV
0 - 3
PAÇ
18%
25%
57%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
LEX
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
MAF
1 - 1
PAÇ
20%
26%
54%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2019 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
ARO
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ACA
1 - 0
OLI
59%
25%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ACA
2 - 0
VAR
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2019 |
ACA
3 - 0
COV
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
ACA
2 - 1
LEX
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
MAF
2 - 3
ACA
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |