Pachuca vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
35.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2005 |
SPC
2 - 0
PAC
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
EST
1 - 0
PAC
36%
25%
38%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
ATL
1 - 1
PAC
52%
23%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
PAC
1 - 3
PUM
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
CHI
0 - 4
PAC
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
TOL
1 - 0
ATL
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
PUM
1 - 2
TOL
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
TOL
2 - 1
CHI
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
MOR
1 - 0
TOL
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
TOL
1 - 0
NEC
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |