Liga MX Apertura . Jor. 14

Pachuca vs Puebla analysis

Pachuca Puebla
81 ELO 75
3% Tilt 1.6%
253º General ELO ranking 961º
Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
61.3%
Pachuca
21.8%
Draw
16.9%
Puebla

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
Pachuca
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.9%
Win probability
Puebla
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pachuca
+12%
-28%
Puebla

Points and table prediction

Pachuca
Their league position
Puebla
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
11º
17º
11º
25
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
América
40
40
100%
Monterrey
33
33
100%
Tigres UANL
30
30
100%
Pumas UNAM
28
28
100%
Chivas Guadalajara
27
27
100%
Puebla
25
25
100%
Atl. San Luis
23
23
100%
León
23
23
0%
Santos Laguna
23
23
0%
Mazatlán
10º
22
22
10º
0%
Pachuca
11º
22
22
11º
0%
Toluca
12º
21
21
12º
100%
Tijuana
13º
20
20
13º
100%
Querétaro
14º
19
19
14º
100%
FC Juárez
15º
18
18
15º
100%
Cruz Azul
16º
17
17
16º
0%
Atlas Guadalajara
17º
17
17
17º
0%
Necaxa
18º
15
15
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Pachuca
Puebla
Final Series
0% 100%
Play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

Pachuca
Puebla
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pachuca
Pachuca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2023
JUA
FC Juárez
0 - 1
Pachuca
PAC
25%
25%
50%
81 70 11 0
08 Oct. 2023
PAC
Pachuca
1 - 1
Tigres UANL
TIG
47%
25%
27%
81 83 2 0
04 Oct. 2023
AME
América
4 - 0
Pachuca
PAC
53%
23%
24%
82 83 1 -1
01 Oct. 2023
PAC
Pachuca
1 - 1
Necaxa
NEC
71%
19%
10%
82 71 11 0
24 Sep. 2023
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
0 - 0
Pachuca
PAC
41%
25%
34%
82 81 1 0

Matches

Puebla
Puebla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2023
PUE
Puebla
0 - 2
Chivas Guadalajara
CHI
42%
27%
31%
75 80 5 0
09 Oct. 2023
NEC
Necaxa
1 - 2
Puebla
PUE
34%
28%
38%
75 70 5 0
04 Oct. 2023
PUE
Puebla
1 - 1
Monterrey
MON
34%
27%
40%
75 82 7 0
29 Sep. 2023
ATS
Atlas Guadalajara
2 - 3
Puebla
PUE
52%
26%
22%
75 80 5 0
23 Sep. 2023
PUE
Puebla
0 - 2
Pumas UNAM
PUM
46%
25%
29%
76 77 1 -1
X