Liga MX Finals Cl. . Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Pachuca vs Indios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
17.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2009 |
IND
0 - 2
PAC
34%
26%
41%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2009 |
PAC
2 - 0
JAG
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
JAG
1 - 3
PAC
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ATS
0 - 5
PAC
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
PAC
5 - 1
JAG
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Indios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2009 |
IND
0 - 2
PAC
34%
26%
41%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
TOL
0 - 0
IND
55%
25%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
IND
1 - 0
TOL
37%
28%
34%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
IND
3 - 1
CHI
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
CAZ
0 - 1
IND
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |