Pļaviņas / DM vs Varaviksne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
65.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pļaviņas / DM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
RIG
20 - 0
PAV
89%
8%
3%
|
16 | 58 | 42 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
PAV
0 - 8
RCR
12%
16%
72%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
GUL
8 - 0
PAV
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 66 | 49 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
PAV
0 - 7
VAL
12%
18%
71%
|
17 | 58 | 41 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
PAV
0 - 7
FKD
15%
18%
68%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | -2 |
Matches
Varaviksne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 0
AUD
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 4
VAR
16%
22%
61%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SMI
1 - 2
VAR
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
VAR
3 - 1
RIG
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
RCR
0 - 2
VAR
40%
24%
36%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |