FA Cup . 1/16
Global 2-3
Oxford United vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
50.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
OXF
2 - 1
BPO
64%
22%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
NEW
0 - 0
OXF
66%
22%
12%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
GIL
1 - 1
OXF
35%
27%
39%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2020 |
OXF
0 - 0
IPS
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
OXF
1 - 3
ROT
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
NEW
0 - 0
NOR
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
NEW
0 - 0
OXF
66%
22%
12%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
EVE
2 - 2
NEW
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
NEW
1 - 0
CHL
16%
21%
63%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2020 |
NEW
4 - 1
ROC
77%
16%
7%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |