Oxford United vs Crystal Palace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
55.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
OXF
1 - 1
MOR
65%
21%
15%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
OXF
1 - 2
LIN
55%
24%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BRO
1 - 0
OXF
31%
26%
43%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
OXF
2 - 2
SWA
34%
24%
42%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
OXF
1 - 0
CAM
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CRY
3 - 1
ASV
45%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
LIV
1 - 1
CRY
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 96 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
CRY
0 - 2
ARS
24%
24%
52%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CRY
4 - 2
MPL
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
QPR
0 - 3
CRY
17%
24%
59%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |