Oxford City vs Worcester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SOL
1 - 2
OXF
43%
25%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
GLO
0 - 1
OXF
39%
26%
36%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
OXF
0 - 1
CHE
24%
25%
51%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
OXF
1 - 2
CAR
12%
20%
69%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
OXF
4 - 2
AFT
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
WOR
5 - 1
COR
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
WOR
2 - 0
BIS
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 2
WOR
45%
25%
31%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
WOR
2 - 3
STF
17%
23%
61%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
WOR
0 - 1
WOR
52%
25%
24%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |