Oxford City vs Cirencester Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2011 |
OXF
1 - 2
RED
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
OXF
0 - 0
HIT
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
RED
0 - 0
OXF
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
ARL
1 - 4
OXF
43%
25%
31%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
OXF
3 - 1
STA
65%
20%
16%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Cirencester Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
CIR
0 - 0
HEM
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
BAN
2 - 1
CIR
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 1
CIR
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 1
CIR
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CIR
2 - 1
LEA
26%
25%
50%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +2 |