FA Trophy . 1/64
Global 5-5
Oxford City vs AFC Hornchurch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
CHM
2 - 6
OXF
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
OXF
1 - 5
SOL
20%
22%
58%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -3 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
TON
4 - 4
OXF
31%
26%
44%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
DOR
0 - 2
OXF
62%
21%
18%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
OXF
2 - 1
SLO
23%
23%
55%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
HAR
1 - 1
HOR
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
HOR
1 - 1
COR
74%
17%
10%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
BAS
1 - 6
HOR
18%
20%
63%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
HOR
3 - 1
POT
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
HOR
3 - 1
BER
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +2 |