Ovarense vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ovarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
OVA
0 - 0
AVE
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
SAN
2 - 0
OVA
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
OVA
1 - 1
PAÇ
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
FEI
1 - 0
OVA
43%
26%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
OVA
0 - 3
NAV
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
VAR
1 - 3
LEX
43%
26%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
AVE
0 - 0
VAR
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
VAR
1 - 1
FCM
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
SAN
3 - 0
VAR
38%
27%
36%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
VAR
2 - 1
CHA
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |