Outes vs CD Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
29.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Outes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
OUT
1 - 1
BAY
70%
17%
13%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
LCL
0 - 2
OUT
38%
23%
39%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
OUT
0 - 3
PIL
60%
20%
20%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
OUT
2 - 1
AGO
57%
21%
22%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 2
OUT
21%
21%
57%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
CD Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 5
UNI
17%
21%
62%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 4
CRM
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SOF
3 - 0
UNI
24%
22%
54%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
SON
56%
21%
23%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
HIJ
2 - 4
UNI
17%
20%
63%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |