CD Ourense vs Gran Peña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
8%
5-1
1%
6-2
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
20.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.8%
1-0
18.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
25%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.7%
3.6%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
ARO
0 - 0
CDO
27%
35%
38%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
CDO
5 - 2
UPL
74%
19%
7%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
GIM
1 - 0
CDO
35%
30%
35%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
CDO
0 - 1
SSC
62%
23%
15%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
CDG
1 - 0
CDO
33%
29%
37%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
UPL
4 - 1
GRA
67%
23%
10%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
GRA
2 - 2
SPB
47%
28%
25%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
GRA
1 - 3
SSC
48%
27%
25%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
GIM
2 - 1
GRA
69%
21%
11%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
GRA
9 - 0
AST
78%
15%
8%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |