Tercera Division I - Galicia Round 15

UD Ourense vs Pontellas analysis

UD Ourense Pontellas
29 ELO 18
-8.8% Tilt -6.5%
5143º General ELO ranking 18884º
178º Country ELO ranking 5518º
ELO win probability
72.6%
UD Ourense
16.6%
Draw
10.9%
Pontellas

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
UD Ourense
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.9%
Win probability
Pontellas
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
UD Ourense
+20%
-51%
Pontellas

ELO progression

UD Ourense
Pontellas
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

UD Ourense
UD Ourense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jan. 2021
UDO
UD Ourense
0 - 3
Alondras CF
ALO
42%
25%
33%
31 34 3 0
20 Dec. 2020
UDO
UD Ourense
2 - 1
CD Estradense
EST
40%
24%
36%
30 32 2 +1
13 Dec. 2020
UDA
UD Atios
2 - 2
UD Ourense
UDO
37%
24%
39%
30 25 5 0
08 Dec. 2020
UDO
UD Ourense
1 - 1
Choco
CHO
33%
25%
42%
30 37 7 0
05 Dec. 2020
OUR
Ourense CF
3 - 1
UD Ourense
UDO
63%
20%
17%
30 39 9 0

Matches

Pontellas
Pontellas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Jan. 2021
EST
CD Estradense
0 - 0
Pontellas
PON
69%
18%
13%
19 29 10 0
10 Jan. 2021
PON
Pontellas
0 - 1
UD Atios
UDA
27%
24%
49%
19 26 7 0
20 Dec. 2020
PON
Pontellas
1 - 0
Choco
CHO
12%
21%
67%
16 36 20 +3
13 Dec. 2020
OUR
Ourense CF
3 - 1
Pontellas
PON
82%
12%
6%
16 41 25 0
08 Dec. 2020
PON
Pontellas
1 - 3
Arenteiro
ARE
12%
20%
68%
17 37 20 -1