UD Ourense vs Bergantiños FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 2
UDO
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
UDO
1 - 0
COM
19%
22%
59%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +3 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ALO
1 - 1
UDO
59%
22%
19%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
UDO
1 - 1
ARE
51%
23%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
OUR
4 - 0
UDO
71%
18%
11%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Bergantiños FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
BER
3 - 1
POL
55%
23%
23%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
BOU
3 - 1
BER
45%
26%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
BER
1 - 3
DEP
43%
26%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
BER
0 - 0
SOM
72%
18%
11%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 1
BER
37%
24%
39%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |