Denmark Series . Final
First-leg 3-2
SfB-Oure vs Otterup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
13.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SfB-Oure
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
OTB
2 - 3
OFA
24%
22%
54%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
OFA
2 - 4
DAL
53%
21%
25%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
KOL
1 - 4
OFA
8%
15%
78%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
OFA
5 - 0
HER
38%
24%
38%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
ODD
2 - 2
OFA
22%
22%
56%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Otterup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
OTB
2 - 3
OFA
24%
22%
54%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
OTB
1 - 0
DAL
38%
24%
39%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
OTB
2 - 0
TAR
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
OTB
6 - 0
OKS
89%
8%
3%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
KOL
1 - 4
OTB
18%
19%
62%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |