Ougrée vs Elsautoise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
67.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
14º
16º
14º
66
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 40 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
45% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 33 |
14º
|
45% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ougrée
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
DUG
1 - 1
OUG
64%
19%
18%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
MEL
1 - 2
OUG
56%
22%
22%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
LIE
2 - 1
OUG
61%
22%
18%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
OUG
2 - 0
HAN
17%
19%
64%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
EUP
2 - 4
OUG
69%
17%
15%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Elsautoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ELS
1 - 1
WAN
55%
21%
25%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ELS
4 - 1
HOM
79%
13%
8%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
EDF
1 - 3
ELS
23%
20%
57%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2022 |
ELS
3 - 0
SFR
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ELS
3 - 0
SPC
81%
13%
6%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |